Comments on: Andrew Robb: The Google Assassin.

By: Ron Brown

Ron Brown — Thu, 22 Nov 2007 00:21:43 +0000

POSSUM
The cumulative Newspoll data IS old info and is the average of the last 2 polls BUT the ‘oz’ are showing THIS averaged result AGAINST respective previous 2 successive Newspoll averaged results

which provides a trend

Would like feedback , but my view of this “cumulative” polling methodology is it completely camoflages the ‘narrowing’ during an election because

9/11 -10/11 poll 56 -44 2PP
16/11-17/11 poll 54 -46 2PP
BUT cumulative of both 55- 45 2PP

I think the 54 -46 is more realistic as it IS the latest Poll and reflects voters FIRMING UP their votes based on current campaign info ?????????????

I admit a cumulative ‘trend’ can be deduced but so can a trend be deduced by comparing numerous SUCCESSIVE polls

Any thoughts ????

By: Rod

Rod — Wed, 21 Nov 2007 23:42:46 +0000

As Christian Kerr notes in this morning’s election Crikey, Labor have to be a bit careful how they handle the Kelly Gang pamphlet.

Very regrettably there are many Australians who undoubtedly “buy” the message intended by the pamphlet’s distribution. The ALP need to be careful that they don’t give the actual content of the thing too much air. If they want to take the matter further prior to the election they should l broaden the exposure to include other “dirty tricks” used in the campaign by the libs – like the poor bloke I was listening to on the radio this morning who gets portrayed as a “union thug” in the Libs TV advertising, but who hasn’t even been employed by one for over a decade, wasn’t in any sense a “thug” when he was, and who, in the mean time has been doing stuff for that terrible threat to Australians everywhere, St Vincent de Paul.

But better to not get diverted by such things, I reckon. Staying “on message” is the way to go.

By: Cat

Cat — Wed, 21 Nov 2007 23:32:15 +0000

To be fair I think the effect will be neutral. When a dog whistle is blown no matter how much the humans might argue that it should not have been blown the dog still hears and responds to it. On the upside I think this will be the final straw for the “doctor’s wives” in the safer liberal electorates where there is a stronger swing than in the marginals like Lindsay. Ican just imagine Shrek’s colourful language on hearing of it.
BTW I was listening to Jackie Kelly’s initial comments being replayed on NewsRadio when it was interrupted because the PM had rung in. To say he sounded flat is being generous. I contained my desire to cry on his behalf – just

By: Ivan

Ivan — Wed, 21 Nov 2007 23:23:55 +0000

Watching Penny Wong vs. Ancrew Robb last night on Lateline I was waiting for Penny to mention Andrew’s stunt re. the dirty dozen, however it didn’t come up. My theory is that there was no need for her to dip into this extra material as she had Robb on the ropes anyway. This seems to be much like the whole ALP campaign, where they have not laid into the Libs with the heavy artillary because they have known that they were so far ahead. Leave it in the kitty, just in case the polls move.

By: Hotlips

Hotlips — Wed, 21 Nov 2007 22:46:43 +0000

http://aycu10.webshots.com/image/34529/2003059647526021137_rs.jpg

By: Paul

Paul — Wed, 21 Nov 2007 22:10:28 +0000

It at first appeared after Peter Garretts jocular conversation that Labor was going to win the funny moments contest. However Kellys prank coupled with Caroline Overingtons hilarious emails has seen the bunch of clowns that is the Liberal Party take a winning lead. The relief at being in front somewhere is being felt throughout the Liberal heartland.

By: Hotlips

Hotlips — Wed, 21 Nov 2007 22:10:19 +0000

Here’s the flyer:

http://img512.imageshack.us/img512/904/islamicpamphletbr1.jpg

By: STAR

STAR — Wed, 21 Nov 2007 22:02:31 +0000

Well the Kelly household has done what Robb could not. This will ensure that Work choices is off the front page for a week or so.

what is that? the Libs do not have a week, only three days. God, I think the Kelly gang have given every Labor candidate in Australia another 2% plus boost.

I expect after this ,episode the Coalition will become more desperate and start struggling in a bed of quick sand. Each stuff from now on will be reported quite heavily by the MSM because they know this gov. is gone so will report with a bit less bias.

My expectation of a Labor landslide a week ago was slim, now i believe this will be of biblical proportions , a once in a lifetime event, and the Coalition might be lucky to have enough members to form an AFL team.

By: john

john — Wed, 21 Nov 2007 21:44:15 +0000

Change to theme a bit- what the hell is Downer doing in Singapore acting as a an Australian Government Minister! The govermnent is in caretaker mode and his ministerial commission is suspended, any agreements he signs up for on behalf of Australia are null and void, quick someone cancel his passport!

By: GS

GS — Wed, 21 Nov 2007 21:40:33 +0000

Jackie Kelly on Ch9’s panel?!? With the pamplet-gate, will it be a “Chaser-style moment” for her?