Comments on: ACNielsen and Pollytrack Expanded http://possumcomitatus.wordpress.com/2008/08/18/acnielsen-and-pollytrack-expanded/ Politics, elections and piffle plinking Fri, 01 Jan 2010 12:42:35 +0000 http://wordpress.com/ hourly 1 By: Possum Comitatus http://possumcomitatus.wordpress.com/2008/08/18/acnielsen-and-pollytrack-expanded/#comment-12187 Possum Comitatus Tue, 19 Aug 2008 00:08:03 +0000 http://possumcomitatus.wordpress.com/?p=1095#comment-12187 Robert - Nielsen probably had some systemic bias in their demographic weighting last year which drove them to be a few points out. It probably wasnt a rogue poll as their final phone poll matched perfectly with their final online poll and both polls had over 1400 respondents each (from memory), which suggests something more than random chance produced the problem. All pollsters regularly update their methodology and weighting, especially after elections. ACN is an extremely professional outfit, they would have done that very thing. Robert – Nielsen probably had some systemic bias in their demographic weighting last year which drove them to be a few points out. It probably wasnt a rogue poll as their final phone poll matched perfectly with their final online poll and both polls had over 1400 respondents each (from memory), which suggests something more than random chance produced the problem.

All pollsters regularly update their methodology and weighting, especially after elections. ACN is an extremely professional outfit, they would have done that very thing.

]]> By: David Richards http://possumcomitatus.wordpress.com/2008/08/18/acnielsen-and-pollytrack-expanded/#comment-12182 David Richards Mon, 18 Aug 2008 17:41:40 +0000 http://possumcomitatus.wordpress.com/?p=1095#comment-12182 Snapper - Would anyone WANT to be leader of such a motley crew of brigands? Snapper – Would anyone WANT to be leader of such a motley crew of brigands?

]]> By: Harry "Snapper" Organs http://possumcomitatus.wordpress.com/2008/08/18/acnielsen-and-pollytrack-expanded/#comment-12179 Harry "Snapper" Organs Mon, 18 Aug 2008 10:02:38 +0000 http://possumcomitatus.wordpress.com/?p=1095#comment-12179 Umm. that's looking suspiciously like a (shudder) Widening. I do love the preoccupation with changing Leaders of the Opposition, as if that's going to make any difference, in the MSM and the polling. Marsupial fluff. Umm. that’s looking suspiciously like a (shudder) Widening. I do love the preoccupation with changing Leaders of the Opposition, as if that’s going to make any difference, in the MSM and the polling. Marsupial fluff.

]]> By: robertbe http://possumcomitatus.wordpress.com/2008/08/18/acnielsen-and-pollytrack-expanded/#comment-12173 robertbe Mon, 18 Aug 2008 04:19:33 +0000 http://possumcomitatus.wordpress.com/?p=1095#comment-12173 Which reminds me to ask many months later, did we ever come to a conclusion as to why the last Nielson before the election was so far off? Which reminds me to ask many months later, did we ever come to a conclusion as to why the last Nielson before the election was so far off?

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