John Howard: Peak Rabbit?
Posted by Possum Comitatus on July 10, 2007
We’ve all heard of “peak oil”, that point in time when oil production peaks, after which it becomes more expensive and simply more difficult to get hold of. Put simply, the bang you get for your buck starts to decline.
Has John Howard reached Peak Rabbit?
Not that long ago in a time when awful polls for the Coalition were still novel, rabbits were plentiful. We had the Burke Rabbit, the Sunrise Rabbit and the Rudd Childhood Rabbit. And the beauty was they were cheap. After all, it only cost an Environment Minister and surely it was worth it for the poll bonanza that would inevitably materialise for the Coalition.
But hat dwelling rabbits just aint what they used to be.
So we got some more expensive rabbits – the $10 billion Water Plan Rabbit, the $6 billion Superhornet Rabbit not to mention the biggest rabbit of them all, the budget rabbit. But as the longer term readers here know, budgets bounce like dead cats and these rabbits had a bad case of myxo.
Now we’ve got the latest Rabbit – the Aboriginal Children Rabbit. Now who can honestly tell me that if this is done properly, as it should be, there will be change from $10 billion over a decade?
And the results of Rabbit MkVII?
They speak for themselves. Morgan moved the Coalition primary vote from 40 to 35 in their telephone polls, and pushed the ALP primary up from 43.5 to 49.Newspoll kept the Coalition primary steady on 39 but had the ALP primary move from 46 to 48.
The top graph shows the primary vote swing of the ALP and the Coalition since the last election using Newspoll data. Two things have become crystal clear:
1. The country seems to have become not only rabbit proof, but positively anti-rabbit.
2. If Howard is going to win with rabbits, he’ll need to turn up to a Cabinet meeting looking something like this:
Because nothing short of some genetically modified mutant lepus is going to cut it.