Speaking of Spin
Posted by Possum Comitatus on October 8, 2007
Centripetal is the word of the moment by the looks of the political stories in the papers today.
Over at the Oz, ‘Coalition Buoyed by Mill‘ is the headline which goes on to say:
“JOHN Howard heads to Tasmania this week armed with private Liberal Party polling showing his Government’s approval for the Gunns pulp mill will significantly boost its chances in the state’s key seats.”
“The polling, obtained by The Australian’s columnist Glenn Milne, reveals the Coalition’s support was rising in all Tasmanian electorates except Lyons, where Liberal candidate Ben Quin was speaking out against the pulp mill.”
In reality, what this actually means is that the Liberal Party support has improved from an ALP TPP in the low 60s to merely being in the high 50s, not that you’d know from the hysterical spinning of the results by the Liberal Party to the journo’s.
You see, the bad polls in Lyons had nothing to do with the Liberal Party per se….. No no no! It was all the result of their ex-candidate Ben Quinn publically speaking out about the pulp mill.
Yesiree, that 11% drop in the Lib vote was all his fault! And in that whole Basil Fawlty “don’t mention the war” type way, the fact that the Libs were getting smashed in Tassie before the pulp mill was even an issue seems to have been lost in all the noise.
So the reality of the Liberal Party polling telling them that they are getting a thorough spanking in Tasmania has been spun into a Pulp Mill led resurgence, simply by using Quinn as a scapegoat and telling some hack that the polls are narrowing, while not telling him the narrowing is actually one from being smashed to smithereens to merely a solid rogering; a solid rogering that’s been the long run trend in Tassie since December.
Honestly, what a load of poorly-spun twaddle
Meanwhile, on a less rotational front, Michael McKenna in the same paper puts some more meat on the bones about things we’ve been saying here for a while about Ryan, the most pertinent being:
“Liberal campaign strategists have reclassified the Brisbane seat of Ryan, held by a margin of 10.4per cent following the 2004 election, as an “ultra-marginal seat” after internal polling showed Coalition support had fallen to the second-lowest of the Coalition-held seats in Queensland, just behind the electorate of Bonner, sitting on a margin of 0.5per cent.”
The article is well worth a read. McKennas last few points on how “party insiders say” is particularly well treated i.e with a grain of salt, almost as an afterthought at the end of the article.If only others followed the same example.
“Party insiders” saying that Vasta is the only one of three Qld members involved in the police investigations which was trailing the ALP candidate is nonsense according to every other piece of polling done in Qld.
Graham Young has more on the Ryan leak, including the local party factionalism over at Ambit Gambit. Worth a look