Possums Official “Make your election tips” thread.
Posted by Possum Comitatus on November 12, 2007
Ok folks, the last 2 weeks is upon us, and the time has arrived to start making your tips for how many seats you think each party will win in the House.
If you’re really feeling psephy, you might also want to throw in a prediction on which seat will swing most (and by how much), and which seat will swing either to the Coalition the greatest (or have the least swing to the ALP).
Some of you have been asking about mine.
Well I have 2 – what I think will happen and what the data suggests. I’m not quite finished doing up the latter, but the former hasn’t changed since the early hours of the morning of the 26th September, when over at Poll Bludger I said:
“… the only maths you’ll need this year is 60+29=89”
I think a lot of the big swings will just fall short of delivering seats, so 89 it is for me (but I’d be more surprised if it were less rather than more than 89).
Biggest swing – still a toss up between Fadden, McPherson and Adelaide, but am looking more at McPherson despite the Gold Coast Bulletins dodgy poll the other day (Yes GCB – I’ve got my eye on your shenanigans).
Smallest swing Brand – a small swing to the Libs.
The winner of the competition gets sent a signed copy of Jon Kudelkas book – 101 Uses For a John Howard.
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