Pollytrack goes permanent.
Posted by Possum Comitatus on June 24, 2008
Pollytrack now has enough data to become a permanent feature on the site with it’s own dedicated page which you can see anytime by following the Pollytrack link in the buttons at the top of the site. It will be updated at the end of each week.
I’ll also add a small graphic soon under the Pollytrack results in the sidebar.
The Pollytrack series is a combined 3 pollster rolling average weighted by sample size of Newspoll, ACNielsen and Morgan phone poll. Each point in the polling series is based on the most recent poll of those 3 pollsters, and as each new poll is released by a pollster, their old value get’s replaced with their new value to construct the most recent Pollytrack data point.
Each observation of the Pollytrack series has a sample size on any given week of between 3100 and 4000, providing for a Margin of Error between 1.5% and 1.75%.
Theoretically the Pollytrack series should be the most accurate tracking poll in the country.
The series started in mid April when ACN resumed their political polling and will be calculated for each week, although at a slight lag as we have to wait for all polls produced in a given week to be released before we can crunch the Pollytrack numbers.
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Along with the Pollytrack series, we’ll also produce two charts of all polls conducted by the three big pollsters, but this time including Morgan face to face polls. We will also run a Loess regression through the polling results to give us a line of best fit.
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Also, for those that don’t know, the US election intrade data page has also been updated for the week ending Sunday, and now has even more spiffy charts for all.
And finally, for a bit of a giggle – a lot of us check out the latest Morgan polls on Friday before they hit the front page of their site, by going to the address that the poll will appear on a few hours earlier. Normally the way it works is that a headline get’s put up and a few hours later the content of the latest poll appears under it. This was the headline for their recently released qualitative survey on Federal politics before it was changed (it’s a screen capture – click it).
I think Gary was taking the piss out of us early peekers.
Just a weird one and not everyones cup of tea – but something I forgot about.
Exerpts from a marathon reading of 1984 at the 2008 Sydney Writers Festival.
There’s just something quaint about book readings – but I’ve got to say, I’ve never seen a relay reading before. Is it just me or was there a bit of crowd attrition as the chapters passed 🙂